张靖. 网络设备工作负载综合预测研究[J]. 微电子学与计算机, 2010, 27(11): 151-153,157.
引用本文: 张靖. 网络设备工作负载综合预测研究[J]. 微电子学与计算机, 2010, 27(11): 151-153,157.
ZHANG Jing. The Study on the Comprehensive Prediction of the Network Equipment Workload[J]. Microelectronics & Computer, 2010, 27(11): 151-153,157.
Citation: ZHANG Jing. The Study on the Comprehensive Prediction of the Network Equipment Workload[J]. Microelectronics & Computer, 2010, 27(11): 151-153,157.

网络设备工作负载综合预测研究

The Study on the Comprehensive Prediction of the Network Equipment Workload

  • 摘要: 充分利用现有成熟预测模型的优势,取长补短,合理选取预测模型,结合负载影响因素,串联或者并联各模型输入或者输出,综合预测,进行网络设备动态负载预测.综合利用灰色和BP神经网络预测模型,并对其算法加以改进来提高预测准确度,分析并提出了一种综合预测模型,给出了具体的预测方法以及过程,并对预测结果进行分析,提高了预测精度,达到了预测目的.实际应用证明,该模型及方法在网络设备负载定量预测方面具有良好的效果,有较好的参考和使用意义.

     

    Abstract: By making full use of the advantages of the advantages of the existing prediction model and selecting reasonably the prediction model, the dynamic workload of the network equipment will be predicted with the combination of the influential factors of the workload and the connection of the models in series or parallel to input or output the result. With the comprehensive utilization of the grey prediction and the BP neural network prediction model and the algorithm improvement of the prediction accuracy, this article analyzes and presents a comprehensive prediction model and gives the specific method and process of the prediction. The analysis of the result of the prediction has proved that this model has improved the prediction accuracy. This model and method work well in the quantitative prediction of the network equipment workload.

     

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